Scores update periodically: the displayed score and minute reflect the last received status.

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Spain

La Liga

Scheduled
Celta Vigo
VS
Malaga

Data last updated:

Our prediction

Total goalsUnder 2.5 goals

Selected from the available statistics. Read the evidence and limitations in the match analysis.

Estimated probability74.4 %
Compatible score scenario1 - 0High risk

A scenario consistent with the main selection, not a certain result. Its probability is separate from the selection’s; other scores remain possible. · 19.1 %

GROQ · IA

AI-assisted reading

  • The selected market has an estimated probability of 74.4 % in the data used.
  • The model uses goal means of 1.10 for the home team and 0.65 for the away team. These are not predicted final scores.
  • The calculation uses a small recent sample and assumes independent goals. Lineups and injuries are not included.
  • An estimate can be wrong. You can choose not to bet; no winnings are guaranteed.

AI selects useful observations from the available calculations. Probabilities come from the statistical engine, not the AI.

Explore the markets

90 minutes + added time. Extra time and penalties excluded.

Match result · 1X2

1Celta Vigo46.2 %
XDraw32.2 %
2Malaga21.6 %

Total goals

Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 = at least 2 / 3 / 4 goals. Under = at most 1 / 2 / 3 goals.

1.5
Over 1.5 goals
52.2 %
Under 1.5 goals
47.8 %
2.5
Over 2.5 goals
25.6 %
Under 2.5 goals
74.4 %
3.5
Over 3.5 goals
10.1 %
Under 3.5 goals
89.9 %

Double chance

1X78.4 %
X253.8 %
1267.8 %

Both teams to score

Yes31.9 %
No68.1 %

Handicap · −1.5

−1.5: the selected team must win by at least two goals. No push on this half-goal line.

Celta Vigo −1.519.4 %
Malaga −1.55.7 %

These are separate market estimates, not a combined bet. Do not add double-chance probabilities: the outcomes overlap.

Corners & cards

Not estimated: sufficient corner, card and referee data is not available. Goal statistics cannot replace it.

Other possible scores

The three most likely individual scores across all outcomes. They may differ from the compatible scenario; each is an alternative, not another main tip.

1 — 019.1 %Celta Vigo
0 — 017.4 %Draw
1 — 112.4 %Draw
How this estimate is calculated

API-Sports recent sample: 5 home-team matches and 4 away-team matches. Each goal mean combines one team's scoring average with its opponent's conceding average. These are not shot-based xG.

The calculation uses a small recent sample and assumes independent goals. Lineups and injuries are not included.

Modelled goal means · home / away : 1.10 / 0.65

V10 excludes a standalone draw tip but retains its probability. Eligible markets are ranked by margin above fixed thresholds: win 60 %, double chance 78 %, total 2.5 and BTTS 65 %, totals 1.5 and 3.5 at 85 %. These filters are neither a profitability measure nor historical model validation.

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